Question

Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction

75%

(50% - 78%)

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50%

community: 75%

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Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 31, 2025

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Newsweek•Aug 25, 2025

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How many journalists in the US will face criminal charges related to their work before 2027?

32.2

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

10%

Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 31, 2025

Bright Line Watch Tournament

Social Sciences

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

Trump Goes Knives-Out for Leftist Media

PJ Media•Aug 25, 2025

Trump Calls For 'Fake News' Networks To Have Licenses Revoked by FCC

Newsweek•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many journalists in the US will face criminal charges related to their work before 2027?

32.2

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

10%