1.4k forecasters

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

95%chance

4 pp this week

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

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Attacking Qatar shows Israel doesn’t want a Gaza ceasefire

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