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16 comments
1.4k forecasters

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

96%chance
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
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Politics
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Daily Mail logo
Benjamin Netanyahu appears in court to face corruption charges - after Trump told the Knesset: 'Cigars and champagne, who the hell cares about that? Why don't you give him a pardon'
Daily Mail•Oct 15, 2025
Spectator (UK) logo
Netanyahu has let a key opportunity slip through his fingers
Spectator (UK)•Oct 15, 2025
MSNBC logo
The fighting in Gaza is over — but Netanyahu’s domestic battles have just begun
MSNBC•Oct 14, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be Benjamin Netanyahu's situation on January 1, 2032?

Other
54.8%
Non-PM political position
20.4%
Imprisoned
19.7%
1 other
27 forecasters

Who will be the Israeli Prime Minister following the election for the 26th Knesset?

Naftali Bennett
44.4%
Benjamin Netanyahu
28.3%
Other
11.5%
3 others
22 forecasters

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

3% chance
1.2k
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