Contributed by the Threshold 2030 Open community.

Question

How many units of humanoid robots will be cumulatively sold globally for performing domestic tasks before 2031?

Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction
3.3M units
(1.15M units - 8.17M units)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%1.146M
median3.296M
upper 75%8.175M
Upper bound
>100M0.9%
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024