Flourishing Futures

In an increasingly technical and online world, the ability to hit a button and cause untold physical and societal damage has never been so easy. As countries jockey for position in global leadership through complex maneuvers of politics and diplomatic relations, there have been increasing movements in nuclear armament. Understanding the risks associated with nuclear armament and warfare, and the causal pathways that could lead to their use, is the current focus of our Flourishing Futures Cause.

We are also announcing an exciting new development — we are partnering with Rethink Priorities to launch the Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament! This will help inform policy makers, researchers, altruists, investors, and entrepreneurs on the risks and outcomes associated nuclear warfare and the likelihood of its occurrence in the future.

You can participate in a number of valuable ways:

Initiatives

AI Safety and Nuclear Confidence Building Measures

$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed on 10 Forecasts

AI Safety and Nuclear Confidence Building Updates

China and Global Cooperation

$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closes on Dec. 31, 2023 33 Forecasts

Climate Tipping Points

0 Forecasts

Flourishing Futures Forum

4 Discussions

Forecasting Our World in Data

$0.00 Prize Pool
Closes on Jan. 1, 2026 13 Forecasts

Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk

$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closes on Dec. 31, 2022 7 Forecasts

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

85 Forecasts

Nuclear Risk Tournament

$2,685.50 Prize Pool
Closes on Feb. 1, 2024 68 Forecasts

Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

Closed on Feb. 1, 2022

White Hat Cyber

$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closes on May 31, 2023 48 Forecasts

Members