Flourishing Futures

In an increasingly technical and online world, the ability to hit a button and cause untold physical and societal damage has never been so easy. As countries jockey for position in global leadership through complex maneuvers of politics and diplomatic relations, there have been increasing movements in nuclear armament. Understanding the risks associated with nuclear armament and warfare, and the causal pathways that could lead to their use, is the current focus of our Flourishing Futures Cause.

We are also announcing an exciting new development — we are partnering with Rethink Priorities to launch the Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament! This will help inform policy makers, researchers, altruists, investors, and entrepreneurs on the risks and outcomes associated nuclear warfare and the likelihood of its occurrence in the future.

You can participate in a number of valuable ways:


AI Safety and Nuclear Confidence Building Measures

$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed on 10 Questions

AI Safety and Nuclear Confidence Building Updates

China and Global Cooperation

$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closes on Dec. 31, 2023 33 Questions

Climate Tipping Points

$5,000.00 Prize Pool
Closes on March 1, 2027 16 Questions

Flourishing Futures Forum

4 Discussions

Forecasting Our World in Data

$20,000.00 Prize Pool
Closes on Jan. 1, 2024 31 Questions

Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk

$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closed on Jan. 1, 2023 7 Questions

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

85 Questions

Nuclear Risk Tournament

$2,685.50 Prize Pool
Closes on Feb. 1, 2024 68 Questions

[Pro Forecasters] Ukraine Conflict 2

6 Questions

[Pro Forecasting] Climate Tipping Points

16 Questions

[Pro Forecasting] Forecasting Our World in Data

$0.00 Prize Pool
Closes on March 2, 2023 21 Questions

Red Lines in Ukraine

23 Questions

Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

Closed on Feb. 1, 2022

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

$5,000.00 Prize Pool
Closes on Jan. 5, 2031 31 Questions

White Hat Cyber

$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closes on May 31, 2023 49 Questions