95.299 | Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member? | Binary |
91.033 | Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020? | Binary |
90.862 | Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020? | Binary |
81.497 | Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019? | Binary |
79.909 | Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020? | Binary |
72.569 | Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018? | Binary |
65.752 | Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election? | Binary |
64.597 | Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018? | Binary |
63.885 | Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019? | Binary |
55.332 | Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs? | Binary |
55.294 | Will Pete Buttigieg drop out before the Indiana primary? | Binary |
52.340 | Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC? | Binary |
41.553 | Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections? | Binary |
40.876 | Will Trump be reelected president if the election is called by November 10th 2020? | Binary |
39.770 | Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018? | Binary |
37.122 | Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021? | Binary |
36.730 | When will a commercial enterprise put a human in orbit? | Continuous |
36.636 | Will radical new "low-energy nuclear reaction" technologies prove effective before 2019? | Binary |
35.584 | Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented? | Binary |
31.943 | Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C? | Binary |
31.104 | To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B? | Binary |
30.074 | Major cuts in US science funding in 2018? | Continuous |
23.807 | Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019? | Binary |
22.798 | Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020? | Binary |
17.124 | Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature? | Binary |
10.285 | How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be? | Binary |
9.317 | Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation? | Binary |
8.087 | Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years? | Binary |
3.607 | Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample? | Binary |
3.289 | Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020? | Binary |
2.720 | Will Joe Biden be the Democratic candidate in the 2020 US presidential election? | Binary |
-0.645 | Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021? | Binary |
-0.778 | Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018? | Binary |
-9.567 | 1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020? | Binary |
-15.184 | By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term? | Binary |
-24.393 | Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis? | Binary |
-30.044 | To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else? | Binary |
-46.104 | Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020? | Binary |
-55.297 | Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019? | Binary |
-97.965 | Will "Rentberry" auction-style apartment rental model succeed? | Binary |
-181.700 | A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic | Binary |