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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
Sep 11, 2025
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by christian
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no comments
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2 min read
Research
Warmup MiniBench Is Live!
Aug 19, 2025
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by christian
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no comments
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1 min read
Research
Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index
Jul 14, 2025
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by RyanBeck
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3 comments
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1 min read
Research
Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots
Jun 21, 2025
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by BenWilson
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3 comments
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31 min read
Research
Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting
Jun 9, 2025
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by BenWilson
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3 comments
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10 min read
Research
Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap
Feb 19, 2025
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by sandman
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11 comments
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18 min read
Research
Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified
Jan 24, 2025
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by sandman
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27 comments
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4 min read
Research
How "Scope Sensitive" are o1-preview and GPT4o's forecasts? Not very.
Dec 9, 2024
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by Tom_Metaculus
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3 comments
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3 min read
Research
Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures
Nov 19, 2024
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by dyncheng
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3 comments
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9 min read
Research
Comparing Forecasting Track Records for AI Benchmarking and Beyond
Sep 25, 2024
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by Tom_Metaculus
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28 comments
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26 min read
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