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Quarterly Cup Tournament: Q3 2024

by Anastasia {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}} Edited on {{qctrl.question.edited_time | dateStr}} {{"estimatedReadingTime" | translate:({minutes: qctrl.question.estimateReadingTime()})}}
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  • Update, July 5, 2024: The third quarter 2024 Quarterly Cup opens for forecasting Monday, July 8! The tournament kicks off with the following questions:

    New for this quarter, bots will also be making forecasts on copies of these questions in the AI Forecasting Benchmark Series. Can you beat the bots?

    We are excited to invite you to participate in the Quarterly Cup Tournament! This repeating tournament is an opportunity for forecasters of all experience levels to compete on topical questions, get fast feedback, and be recognized for their expertise.

    Each week, we present a fresh set of questions on current events, and each week, at least one question resolves. Many questions feature an extended hidden period to help identify and reward exceptional forecasters.

    The Quarterly Cup is also a great venue for submitting your own questions and contributing to the growth and vibrancy of our forecasting community. (Find a question writing and submission guide here.) Writing intriguing questions that attract forecaster engagement also puts you in the running for our new question-writing medals!

    If you’re new to Metaculus, the Quarterly Cup is an excellent opportunity to learn how the platform works. If you’re a veteran, it’s the perfect place to demonstrate your abilities. For forecasters of all levels, it’s an opportunity to hone your skills, get better calibrated, engage with your fellow forecasters, and track current events through the lens of quantified forecasting.

    The second quarter 2024 Quarterly Cup concluded on July 4, 2024. Congratulations to the top three winners! See the winners announcement here, and kudos to all the previous Quarterly Cup winners:

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