
AGI Readiness Index
2
*Update 2025-05-03: The index table has been moved to the* [*project page*](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/agi-readiness-index/)*.* This index tracks key metrics, identified by workshop participants at [<u>The Curve</u>](https://thecurve.is/) in November 2024, that reflect societal, technological, and regulatory preparedness for Artificial General Intelligence (as defined in [this question](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/)). **When the index goes up, that means forecasters believe, as a whole, things are looking *better* for 2030 than they previously expected.** Participants answered the question: *Assume AGI arrives in 2030. If you could ask an oracle <u>three questions</u> about the world* right before *AGI arrives, what would they be?* Their questions were discussed and winnowed to these eight. What factors do you feel are missing? Do you think these weights are off? Let us know in the comments! Read more about indexes [here](https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/31879/announcing-indexes/). Find all the questions below or [here](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/agi-readiness-index/) on their project page.