Market Pulse Challenge 26Q2: Can You Beat the Market and the Crowd?
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 The [new quarter of Market Pulse](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/market-pulse-26q2/), for the 2nd quarter of 2026, launches today, **with a prize pool of \$7,500**. Will it continue to surface meaningful signal from Metaculus forecasts? Previous contests have found intriguing [evidence of edge](https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/38782/winners-of-the-market-pulse-challenge-25q2/), with strong performance on a number of questions, from [<u>earnings forecasts</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40230/oct-dec-2025-eps-for-these-companies/) beating analysts on 5 out of 7 questions, to consistently beating [<u>VIX</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40044/biweekly-maximum-intraday-vix-in-q4-2025/) futures and naive benchmarks. As we enter the second quarter of 2026, 10-year Treasury yields have surged since the start of the war between the United States, Israel and Iran, from below 4% to almost 4.5%: <img height="370" width="666" src="https://cdn.metaculus.com/user_uploaded/Screenshot_2026-03-30_at_4.31.56PM.png" /> [<u>The Q1 contest</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/market-pulse-25q4/) will be over soon, with winners announced in early April. ### **Get Started on the New Tournament** The [<u>Market Pulse Challenge 26Q2</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/market-pulse-26q2/) opens with a \$7,500 prize pool. The first questions close on April 5, 2026. #### **Spot Scoring** Contrary to previous iterations of the tournament, this round uses spot scores, so only your predictions at the close time of each question will count for the tournament leaderboard. #### **Questions Include:** * Will crude oil outperform the S\&P 500 over the next two weeks? * Will Nvidia beat Apple? * Treasury yields: Will the UST 10Y Yield continue its rise amid geopolitical clashes? * Earnings on companies such as Tesla, Apple and Nvidia. * ...and more! ### Join Now Go [here](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/market-pulse-26q2/) to start forecasting in Market Pulse Q2 2026, with cash prizes for those who make it to the top of the Leaderboard. We're excited to see you there! *Nothing in this post should be considered investment advice.*