The Bright Line Watch Tournament has concluded! Forecasters competed across 25 questions for the \$2,500 prize pool. The medalists are:

| Rank | Forecaster                                                                                  | Score   |
| ---- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ------- |
| 🥇1  | [lionel](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/250594/ "lionel")                       | 167.686 |
| 🥈2  | [katifish](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/109742/ "katifish")                   | 163.759 |
| 🥉3  | [oyekunlejoseph003](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/245237/ "oyekunlejoseph003") | 155.621 |

The contest centered on public policy and democratic institutions in the US, with most questions created by [Bright Line Watch](https://brightlinewatch.org/ "Bright Line Watch"), mixed with some existing Metaculus questions. Examples include:

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39570/

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31271/

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34503/

Find the full list of questions and leaderboard at the [Bright Line Watch Tournament page](https://www.metaculus.com/c/brightlinewatch/).

[Bright Line Watch](https://brightlinewatch.org/ "Bright Line Watch") is a nonpartisan watchdog that has monitored the status of American democracy since 2017. Through 23 waves (and counting) of paired surveys of political scientists and the public, Bright Line Watch tracks changes in democratic norms, legitimacy, and confidence in U.S. elections. The organization measures long-term trends, such as belief in the legitimacy of the 2020 election and confidence in the 2024 election, while also fielding timely survey modules on topics like trust in democratic institutions, proposed policy reforms, and the role of courts and prosecutors.

Congratulations to all prize and medal winners! We will be in contact soon to arrange prize-giving.

If you're looking to participate in forecasting contests on similara topics, don't miss our other collaboration with Bright Line Watch, the [U.S. Democracy Threat Index](https://www.metaculus.com/index/us-democracy-threat/), which carries a **\$10,000** prize pool.