We're launching the [<u>Global Health Monitor 2026/27</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/global-health-monitor-26-27/), our next step in tracking infectious disease risk. Building on the previous&nbsp;[Respiratory Outlook initiatives](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/respiratory-outlook-25-26/), the Global Health Monitor extends the series beyond seasonal respiratory illness to infectious disease risk more broadly.

![](https://cdn.metaculus.com/user_uploaded/ghm-social.jpg)

You'll still find forecasts on the disease burden of influenza, COVID-19, and RSV. But now there are questions on other outbreaks and emerging threats: Ebola, bird flu, the return of measles, and the spread of diseases carried by insects and animals moving into new regions.

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/45008/

New questions will be added over the course of the year as threats emerge. Good forecasts here matter: outbreak risk and disease burden are exactly the kind of questions where an accurate crowd estimate is worth more than any single expert's gut call.

You can support efforts to anticipate disease trends by adding your forecasts to the aggregate and compete for a chance to win medals.

## [<u>Forecast now →</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/global-health-monitor-26-27/)