This first Focus Week is an experimental initiative aiming to make intellectual progress on an important topic as a community: What might the world look like five years after AGI?

AGI’s arrival could trigger radical changes, and it is prudent for society to understand these potential changes to better navigate them. Poor planning for a post-AGI world could lock humanity into a downward trajectory, while wise planning might enable us to make the most of our light cone.

How will power be distributed in a post-AGI world? Will AGI companies have a lot of it? all of it? Might some scientific advances backfire? How exactly will AGI be used for “the benefit of all.”

The focus of this series is possible futures where AGI does not cause human extinction. Unless otherwise indicated, questions condition on AGI not causing extinction.

Questions will remain open even after Focus Week ends.

How to participate?

Participate by:

Forecasting
Commenting — Comments are especially valuable on long-term questions, because the forecasting community has less of a track record at these time scales. Additionally, stakeholders we work with, who look at our questions with a view to informing their grantmaking, policymaking, etc., frequently say that they would find more comments valuable in helping bring context to the Community Prediction.
Writing questions — There may well be some gaps in the admin-created question set. We welcome question contributions from users, and we will be reviewing questions in an expedited manner.

Five Years After AGI

Series Contents