5 comments
10 forecasters
Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?
65%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 65% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 2, 2015
Closes:Dec 15, 2015
Resolved:Feb 1, 2016
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2015
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?
65% chance
200
Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?
53% chance
18
Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?
6% chance
81