Question

Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
84.0
Community Peer Score
13.8
Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 2, 2022