66 forecasters

Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 1, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 2, 2022

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