Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

US Supplemental Poverty Measure: 2022 > 2021


The US Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics created the Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) in the 2000s to address shortcomings of the Official Poverty Measure (OPM). Unlike the OPM, the SPM adjusts for in-kind benefits, tax liabilities, and local housing costs. For these reasons, poverty researchers generally prefer the SPM over the OPM.

The Census Bureau typically reports the SPM and OPM each September, along with the Current Population Survey March Supplement data upon which they're both calculated. In September 2021, they reported the 2020 SPM as 9.1 percent, down from 11.8 percent in 2019.

Will the US Supplemental Poverty Measure be higher in 2022 than 2021?

This question will resolve positively if the 2022 Supplemental Poverty Measure exceeds its 2021 value. In each year from 2014 to 2021, the Census Bureau has reported the SPM between September 12 and October 14.

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.