Question
How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?
Resolved:19.473kTotal Forecasters309
Community Prediction
19.8k
(18.9k - 21k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 18.92k | — |
| median | 19.77k | — |
| upper 75% | 21.02k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100k | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?19.473k
Community Peer Score
49.3
Community Baseline Score
75.4
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 23, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 23, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2022