385 forecasters

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

10%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Mar 24, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 25, 2022

EU Summit - Europe To Get Tough With Russia

Forbes•Oct 22, 2025

As the US flip-flops on the path to peace, Europe’s ‘coalition of the willing’ rallies round Ukraine

Guardian•Oct 22, 2025

The Guardian view on EU accession for Ukraine: Orbán must not be allowed to call the tune | Editorial

Guardian•Oct 15, 2025

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