Question

Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022?

Resolved:No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters236

Community Prediction

(1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

11.8

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Apr 22, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

Deadly new Russian drone and missile attack hits Kyiv A massive overnight Russian attack has hit Ukraine's capital Kyiv. The attack involved 18 missiles and about 400 drones, President Volodymyr Zelensky has said. BBC, 10 July 2025:

•Jul 11, 2025

Russia pounds Kyiv with another major missile and drone attack, killing at least 2

PBS NewsHour•Jul 11, 2025

Deadly new Russian drone and missile attack hits Kyiv

•Jul 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Apr 22, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Russia pounds Kyiv with another major missile and drone attack, killing at least 2

PBS NewsHour•Jul 11, 2025

Deadly new Russian drone and missile attack hits Kyiv

•Jul 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch