Question

When will Russia's nuclear readiness scale return to Level 1?

Resolved:Ambiguous
Total Forecasters200
Community Prediction
15 Nov 2023
(18 May 2023 - >31 Dec 2023)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%18 May 2023
median15 Nov 2023
upper 75%>31 Dec 2023
Upper bound
>31 Dec 202341.4%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Opened:Mar 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2022