562 forecasters

Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

2022 Leaderboard

'It is time to call Putin's WW3 bluff': Russia's drone incursions are the signal NATO must now join the fight in Ukraine or risk European invasion, experts warn

Daily Mail•Sep 16, 2025

NATO must impose no-fly zone over Ukraine to protect from Russian drones, Poland says

New York Post•Sep 16, 2025

NATO should impose no-fly zone over Ukraine to protect against Russian drones, Poland says

CNN•Sep 15, 2025

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