🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD?

Resolved :2.241.81
25
35
Total Forecasters319
Community Prediction1.81 (1.62 - 2.02)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<0.5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2.5
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
1.625
1.807
2.024
4.1%

What was the final result?2.24

Community Baseline Score
-59.1
Community Peer Score
91.3
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
Economy & Business
2022-2023 Leaderboard
List of countries by GDP (nominal)
European Union
World Bank
Moscow Exchange
United States
Central Bank of Russia
Russia

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