84 comments
373 forecasters
Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022?
30%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2022
Closes:Mar 22, 2022
Resolved:Apr 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2022
Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026?
1% chance
50
When will the first post-2022 direct flight between Russia and Europe (EU or UK ) take place?
09 Nov 2027
(16 Jul 2026 - 10 Jul 2029)
09 Nov 2027
(16 Jul 2026 - 10 Jul 2029)
27 forecasters
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
3% chance
409