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Russian Border Closure by April 2022

Question

On February 24, 2022, Russia launched a so-called "special operation" in Ukraine. This caused a spike in emigration from Russia. Mediazona reported that some people have been interrogated upon leaving the country, which sometimes prevented them from flying out.

Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022?

This question will resolve positively if at least three reputable media publicly report that a significant additional fraction of the Russian civilian population (= at least an additional 2% of population excluding people in military, police, and national guard, e.g., males of the age of conscription would suffice) are either forbidden from leaving the country or that’s it is technically impossible to leave. The state of the Russo-Belarusian border is immaterial to the resolution.

Categories:
Geopolitics
Ukraine

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