832 forecasters

Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 4, 2022

Closes:

Apr 22, 2022

Resolved:

Jun 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 4, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

2022 Leaderboard

Charting the past year of Russian drone and missile attacks on Ukraine

Al Jazeera•Sep 9, 2025

Diplomats tour damage in Kyiv after Russia’s largest aerial attack since Ukraine invasion began

PBS NewsHour•Sep 8, 2025

Ukraine shows diplomats damage after Russia’s largest aerial attack since invasion

Associated Press•Sep 8, 2025

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