Question
When will New York City's subway ridership return to pre-COVID pandemic levels for the first time?
Resolved:11 Nov 2022Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
12 Oct 2024
(27 Apr 2023 - >29 Dec 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30 Mar 2022 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 27 Apr 2023 | — |
| median | 12 Oct 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | >29 Dec 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >29 Dec 2024 | 35.6% | — |
What was the final result?11 Nov 2022
Community Baseline Score
-23.6
Community Peer Score
33.8
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2022
Closes:Jan 2, 2024
Resolves:Jan 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2022
Closes:Jan 2, 2024
Resolves:Jan 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2022