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65 forecasters

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65 forecasters

White Hat Cyber

Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022?

ResolvedNo

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6 comments34 forecasters

Russia uprising in fall 2026?

3 comments9 forecasters

Russian theft of frontier AI weights by 2030?

1 comment25 forecasters

Alcatraz house inmates before 2028?

23 comments174 forecasters

Russian Territory Loss >20% by 2028

5 comments11 forecasters

ADX Florence escape before 2050

1 comment117 forecasters

Will the US transfer a citizen to a prison abroad in the following years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

29 comments48 forecasters

SBF Prison Sentence Length 2030

Current estimate

3 comments19 forecasters

Russian LLM in Chatbot Arena top 100 before 2027?