135 comments
412 forecasters
Will Roe v. Wade be formally overturned by July 31, 2028?
96%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 96% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2018
Closes:Jul 31, 2028
Resolved:Jun 24, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 3, 2018
In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?
52.5%
(43.2 - 60.9)
52.5%
(43.2 - 60.9)
29 forecasters
Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?
12% chance
233
Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?
12% chance
1.4k