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14
100
forecasters
5
14 comments
100 forecasters
White Hat Cyber
3 more...
Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?
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10 forecasters
US Semiconductor Capacity in Jan 2030
Current estimate
382
7 comments
68 forecasters
Chinese foundry with ≥20% of semi market?
53%
chance
14 comments
47 forecasters
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack
10k / month
6%
30k / month
7%
300k / year
4.7%
1M / year
4%
3M / year
1%
2 comments
51 forecasters
Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?
87%
chance
5 comments
5 forecasters
When will the RAM shortage end? (64GB DDR5-6000 under $300)
Current estimate
30 Jun 2028
1 comment
55 forecasters
Chinese EUV machine marketed by 2033?
90%
chance
1 comment
37 forecasters
Chinese ArFi machine used at scale by 2026?
50%
chance
10 comments
49 forecasters
Chinese process node advancement by 2030?
≤5 nm
85%
≤3 nm
75%
≤2 nm
44%