77 comments
337 forecasters
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022?
80%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 80% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 11, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Dec 7, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 11, 2022
Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?
16.8% chance
33
When will Volodymyr Zelensky cease to hold the office of President of Ukraine?
01 Nov 2026
(28 Oct 2025 - 13 May 2028)
01 Nov 2026
(28 Oct 2025 - 13 May 2028)
37 forecasters
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?
0.1% chance
117