9 comments
31 forecasters
How many subscribers will the Effective Altruism subreddit have on January 1, 2023?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2022
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79% chance
90
How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?
41.1 users
(34.2 - 45.4)
41.1 users
(34.2 - 45.4)
45 forecasters
How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?
3677 people
(2178 - 6433)
3677 people
(2178 - 6433)
26 forecasters