29 comments
445 forecasters
Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023?
99.9%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 100% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2022
Closes:Feb 21, 2023
Resolved:Feb 22, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2022
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2% chance
195
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
3% chance
409
Will the United States import any crude oil from Russia between 2025 and 2030?
60% chance
11