Question
What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022?
Resolved:17.24137931Total Forecasters255
Community Prediction
11.7
(5.83 - 18.3)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 5.827 | — |
median | 11.67 | — |
upper 75% | 18.32 | — |
What was the final result?17.24137931
Community Baseline Score
52.0
Community Peer Score
36.8
Authors:
Opened:Mar 18, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Mar 14, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 18, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Mar 14, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2022