Question

What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022?

Resolved:17.24137931
Total Forecasters255
Community Prediction
11.7
(5.83 - 18.3)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%5.827
median11.67
upper 75%18.32

What was the final result?17.24137931

Community Baseline Score
52.0
Community Peer Score
36.8
Opened:Mar 18, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Mar 14, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2022