Question

Will Turkey declare sanctions on Russia before 2024?

Resolved:No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction

0.5%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

63.4

Community Peer Score

7.3

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Mar 25, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 27, 2022

Geopolitics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Erdogan vows to boost Turkey’s missile production as Israel-Iran war escalates

Associated Press•Jun 20, 2025

Has Putin pushed the Russian economy to its limits?

Spectator (UK)•Jun 20, 2025

Turkey’s Erdogan Offers ‘Whatever Is Required’ to Halt Israel’s Strikes on Iran

Breitbart•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?

20%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

15%

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Mar 25, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 27, 2022

Geopolitics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Erdogan vows to boost Turkey’s missile production as Israel-Iran war escalates

Associated Press•Jun 20, 2025

Has Putin pushed the Russian economy to its limits?

Spectator (UK)•Jun 20, 2025

Turkey’s Erdogan Offers ‘Whatever Is Required’ to Halt Israel’s Strikes on Iran

Breitbart•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?

20%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

15%