Question

Will Turkey declare sanctions on Russia before 2024?

Resolved:No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction

0.5%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

7.3

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Mar 25, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 27, 2022

Geopolitics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Trump does deal with Nato allies to arm Ukraine and warns Russia of severe sanctions

Guardian•Jul 15, 2025

List of US Imports From Russia as Trump Threatens Secondary Tariffs

Newsweek•Jul 15, 2025

Donald Trump Issues New Threat to Russia

Newsweek•Jul 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?

22%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Mar 25, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 27, 2022

Geopolitics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Trump does deal with Nato allies to arm Ukraine and warns Russia of severe sanctions

Guardian•Jul 15, 2025

List of US Imports From Russia as Trump Threatens Secondary Tariffs

Newsweek•Jul 15, 2025

Donald Trump Issues New Threat to Russia

Newsweek•Jul 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?

22%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%