Question

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?

Resolved:667

-1

4 comments4

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction

528

(342 - 677)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>5000
community	342.1	527.8	677.5	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	342.1	—
median	527.8	—
upper 75%	677.5	—
Upper bound
>5000	0.1%	—

What was the final result?667

Community Baseline Score

84.8

Community Peer Score

33.0

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Mar 18, 2022

Closes:

Apr 8, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 15, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 27, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 7

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

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35.4%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%