55 comments
196 forecasters
Will the Trump Adminstration succeed in creating a "Space Force" before the 2020 presidential election?
94%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 94% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 9, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolved:Dec 21, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 10, 2018
Will any "Freedom Cities" be built in the United States before 2040?
10% chance
31
Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?
73% chance
41
Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?
4% chance
1.2k