Question

Will the Trump Adminstration succeed in creating a "Space Force" before the 2020 presidential election?

Resolved:Yes

55 comments55

Total Forecasters199

Community Prediction

94%

(63% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 94%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-172.2

Community Peer Score

6.7

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Jul 9, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2020

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 10, 2018

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Will any "Freedom Cities" be built in the United States before 2040?

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

77%

Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?

10%

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Jul 9, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2020

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 10, 2018

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Will any "Freedom Cities" be built in the United States before 2040?

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

77%

Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?

10%