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Our World in Data sources this data from the [Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations](https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/?#data/QCL).","created_at":"2022-09-29T13:54:44.444084Z","open_time":"2022-10-19T13:00:00Z","cp_reveal_time":"2022-11-18T02:45:08.962560Z","spot_scoring_time":"2022-11-18T02:45:08.962560Z","scheduled_resolve_time":"2025-04-02T04:00:00Z","actual_resolve_time":"2025-04-05T03:38:00Z","resolution_set_time":"2025-04-05T03:39:20.304082Z","scheduled_close_time":"2024-01-01T05:00:00Z","actual_close_time":"2024-01-01T05:00:00Z","type":"numeric","options":null,"group_variable":"","status":"resolved","possibilities":{"low":"tail","high":"tail","type":"continuous","scale":{"max":90000000000,"min":60000000000,"deriv_ratio":1.5},"format":"num"},"resolution":"76250000000.0","include_bots_in_aggregates":false,"question_weight":1,"resolution_criteria":"This question will resolve as the total number of chickens slaughtered for meat in the respective year for the whole world according to [Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/animals-slaughtered-for-meat?time=1961..latest). 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many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years? 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Our World in Data sources this data from the [Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations](https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/?#data/QCL).","created_at":"2022-09-29T13:54:44.444307Z","open_time":"2022-10-19T13:00:00Z","cp_reveal_time":"2023-01-17T11:46:25.003200Z","spot_scoring_time":"2023-01-17T11:46:25.003200Z","scheduled_resolve_time":"2054-04-02T04:00:00Z","actual_resolve_time":null,"resolution_set_time":null,"scheduled_close_time":"2053-01-01T05:00:00Z","actual_close_time":"2053-01-01T05:00:00Z","type":"numeric","options":null,"group_variable":"","status":"open","possibilities":{"low":"tail","high":"tail","type":"continuous","scale":{"max":300000000000,"min":1000000000,"deriv_ratio":300},"format":"num"},"resolution":null,"include_bots_in_aggregates":false,"question_weight":1,"resolution_criteria":"This question will resolve as the total number of chickens slaughtered for meat in the respective year for the whole world according to [Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/animals-slaughtered-for-meat?time=1961..latest). For example, this figure was 70.77 billion in the year 2020.\n\nThe resolution for each year will be determined by the earliest credible data reported by Our World in Data; later updates or revisions by OWID will be irrelevant to the question resolution.\n\nIf data reported by OWID contains a significant error (aside from typical adjustments from scheduled data releases), Metaculus may re-resolve the question at their sole discretion. If OWID no longer reports data for a relevant year, Metaculus may use an alternative credible source of data at their discretion, or resolve as **Ambiguous**.\n\nIf humanity goes extinct or ceases to have a developed society prior to a listed year, that sub-question will resolve as **Ambiguous**.","fine_print":"* If humanity establishes off-Earth colonies and Our World in Data adds a \"Total Humanity\" measure (or equivalent) to the chart, that measure will be used instead of the \"World\" measure.\n* For the purposes of this question, humans will be considered to be extinct if the total human population is less than 5% of their previous peak population. \"Humans\" will be defined as members of a species with enough biological similarity to reproduce with typical 2022 humans with medical assistance which could be available in the year 1900.\n* \"Ceasing to have a developed society\" will be defined as world GDP declining to below 100 billion USD (in [2021 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many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years? 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Our World in Data sources this data from the [Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations](https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/?#data/QCL).","created_at":"2022-09-29T13:54:44.444250Z","open_time":"2022-10-19T13:00:00Z","cp_reveal_time":"2023-01-17T09:20:08.851200Z","spot_scoring_time":"2023-01-17T09:20:08.851200Z","scheduled_resolve_time":"2034-04-02T04:00:00Z","actual_resolve_time":null,"resolution_set_time":null,"scheduled_close_time":"2033-01-01T05:00:00Z","actual_close_time":"2033-01-01T05:00:00Z","type":"numeric","options":null,"group_variable":"","status":"open","possibilities":{"low":"tail","high":"tail","type":"continuous","scale":{"max":120000000000,"min":40000000000,"deriv_ratio":3},"format":"num"},"resolution":null,"include_bots_in_aggregates":false,"question_weight":1,"resolution_criteria":"This question will resolve as the total number of chickens slaughtered for meat in the respective year for the whole world according to [Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/animals-slaughtered-for-meat?time=1961..latest). For example, this figure was 70.77 billion in the year 2020.\n\nThe resolution for each year will be determined by the earliest credible data reported by Our World in Data; later updates or revisions by OWID will be irrelevant to the question resolution.\n\nIf data reported by OWID contains a significant error (aside from typical adjustments from scheduled data releases), Metaculus may re-resolve the question at their sole discretion. If OWID no longer reports data for a relevant year, Metaculus may use an alternative credible source of data at their discretion, or resolve as **Ambiguous**.\n\nIf humanity goes extinct or ceases to have a developed society prior to a listed year, that sub-question will resolve as **Ambiguous**.","fine_print":"* If humanity establishes off-Earth colonies and Our World in Data adds a \"Total Humanity\" measure (or equivalent) to the chart, that measure will be used instead of the \"World\" measure.\n* For the purposes of this question, humans will be considered to be extinct if the total human population is less than 5% of their previous peak population. \"Humans\" will be defined as members of a species with enough biological similarity to reproduce with typical 2022 humans with medical assistance which could be available in the year 1900.\n* \"Ceasing to have a developed society\" will be defined as world GDP declining to below 100 billion USD (in [2021 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Our World in Data sources this data from the [Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations](https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/?#data/QCL).","created_at":"2022-09-29T13:54:44.444189Z","open_time":"2022-10-19T13:00:00Z","cp_reveal_time":"2023-01-17T01:22:01.211520Z","spot_scoring_time":"2023-01-17T01:22:01.211520Z","scheduled_resolve_time":"2027-04-02T04:00:00Z","actual_resolve_time":null,"resolution_set_time":null,"scheduled_close_time":"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","actual_close_time":"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","type":"numeric","options":null,"group_variable":"","status":"open","possibilities":{"low":"tail","high":"tail","type":"continuous","scale":{"max":100000000000,"min":50000000000,"deriv_ratio":2},"format":"num"},"resolution":null,"include_bots_in_aggregates":false,"question_weight":1,"resolution_criteria":"This question will resolve as the total number of chickens slaughtered for meat in the respective year for the whole world according to [Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/animals-slaughtered-for-meat?time=1961..latest). For example, this figure was 70.77 billion in the year 2020.\n\nThe resolution for each year will be determined by the earliest credible data reported by Our World in Data; later updates or revisions by OWID will be irrelevant to the question resolution.\n\nIf data reported by OWID contains a significant error (aside from typical adjustments from scheduled data releases), Metaculus may re-resolve the question at their sole discretion. If OWID no longer reports data for a relevant year, Metaculus may use an alternative credible source of data at their discretion, or resolve as **Ambiguous**.\n\nIf humanity goes extinct or ceases to have a developed society prior to a listed year, that sub-question will resolve as **Ambiguous**.","fine_print":"* If humanity establishes off-Earth colonies and Our World in Data adds a \"Total Humanity\" measure (or equivalent) to the chart, that measure will be used instead of the \"World\" measure.\n* For the purposes of this question, humans will be considered to be extinct if the total human population is less than 5% of their previous peak population. \"Humans\" will be defined as members of a species with enough biological similarity to reproduce with typical 2022 humans with medical assistance which could be available in the year 1900.\n* \"Ceasing to have a developed society\" will be defined as world GDP declining to below 100 billion USD (in [2021 USD](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL), with adjustments for [Purchasing Power Parity](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purchasing_power_parity))","label":"2025","unit":"chickens","open_upper_bound":true,"open_lower_bound":true,"inbound_outcome_count":null,"scaling":{"range_max":100000000000,"range_min":50000000000,"zero_point":0},"group_rank":1,"post_id":12702,"aggregations":{"recency_weighted":{"history":[{"start_time":1666192083.568923,"end_time":1666221781.018052,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":1,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.48595277149271143],"centers":[0.5451892075606285],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6037858052866877],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666221781.018052,"end_time":1666230080.224697,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":2,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.4020909835478968],"centers":[0.4748861721975288],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.5555282545436168],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666230080.224697,"end_time":1666230182.051934,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":3,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.39378033094326476],"centers":[0.45185676419735943],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.517294703062345],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666230182.051934,"end_time":1666234306.8368,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":3,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.40441881966384136],"centers":[0.4647140498345739],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.5289489991267419],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666234306.8368,"end_time":1666265612.038402,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":4,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.4403005866854315],"centers":[0.5378396272111465],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6779319163663273],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666265612.038402,"end_time":1666267541.597878,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":5,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.4603466944746535],"centers":[0.5434880648923002],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6448846284125007],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666267541.597878,"end_time":1666267619.759816,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":6,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.48671792121347257],"centers":[0.5773793919436416],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6768033233190147],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666267619.759816,"end_time":1666267634.988603,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":6,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.4897688888835085],"centers":[0.5871087622637446],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6899269360490543],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666267634.988603,"end_time":1666268076.193831,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":6,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.4866605015809149],"centers":[0.582080298969413],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6878211872493273],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666268076.193831,"end_time":1666300687.899518,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":6,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.4836116726009373],"centers":[0.5746937426000206],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6776100003913347],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666300687.899518,"end_time":1666358742.970919,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":7,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.5081785064948271],"centers":[0.5964867829812331],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.676652078403091],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666358742.970919,"end_time":1666359352.033447,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":8,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.5279714452134336],"centers":[0.6091877427358887],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6793569294369775],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666359352.033447,"end_time":1666382366.960925,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":9,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.4856784257753776],"centers":[0.5784027236286718],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6602429429145293],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666382366.960925,"end_time":1666735521.789708,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":9,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.49225473220368093],"centers":[0.5848553147140668],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6667670243258315],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666735521.789708,"end_time":1666763439.760327,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":10,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.5137902567048294],"centers":[0.6059368845339353],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6795679079306355],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1666763439.760327,"end_time":1667071546.059178,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":11,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.5279082766310098],"centers":[0.6072685615592404],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.6703050455689756],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1667071546.059178,"end_time":1667750314.344801,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":12,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.5435829809455505],"centers":[0.6244145086631662],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.686202005304875],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1667750314.344801,"end_time":1668042167.02275,"forecast_values":null,"forecaster_count":13,"interval_lower_bounds":[0.5620514086185806],"centers":[0.6463090780508424],"interval_upper_bounds":[0.7171732389107724],"means":null,"histogram":null},{"start_time":1668042167.02275,"end_time":16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many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years? 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Our World in Data sources this data from the [Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations](https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/?#data/QCL).","created_at":"2022-09-29T13:54:44.444362Z","open_time":"2022-10-19T13:00:00Z","cp_reveal_time":"2023-01-17T12:35:03.814080Z","spot_scoring_time":"2023-01-17T12:35:03.814080Z","scheduled_resolve_time":"2124-04-02T04:00:00Z","actual_resolve_time":null,"resolution_set_time":null,"scheduled_close_time":"2123-01-01T05:00:00Z","actual_close_time":"2123-01-01T05:00:00Z","type":"numeric","options":null,"group_variable":"","status":"open","possibilities":{"low":"tail","high":"tail","type":"continuous","scale":{"max":1000000000000,"min":100000000,"deriv_ratio":10000},"format":"num"},"resolution":null,"include_bots_in_aggregates":false,"question_weight":1,"resolution_criteria":"This question will resolve as the total number of chickens slaughtered for meat in the respective year for the whole world according to [Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/animals-slaughtered-for-meat?time=1961..latest). For example, this figure was 70.77 billion in the year 2020.\n\nThe resolution for each year will be determined by the earliest credible data reported by Our World in Data; later updates or revisions by OWID will be irrelevant to the question resolution.\n\nIf data reported by OWID contains a significant error (aside from typical adjustments from scheduled data releases), Metaculus may re-resolve the question at their sole discretion. If OWID no longer reports data for a relevant year, Metaculus may use an alternative credible source of data at their discretion, or resolve as **Ambiguous**.\n\nIf humanity goes extinct or ceases to have a developed society prior to a listed year, that sub-question will resolve as **Ambiguous**.","fine_print":"* If humanity establishes off-Earth colonies and Our World in Data adds a \"Total Humanity\" measure (or equivalent) to the chart, that measure will be used instead of the \"World\" measure.\n* For the purposes of this question, humans will be considered to be extinct if the total human population is less than 5% of their previous peak population. \"Humans\" will be defined as members of a species with enough biological similarity to reproduce with typical 2022 humans with medical assistance which could be available in the year 1900.\n* \"Ceasing to have a developed society\" will be defined as world GDP declining to below 100 billion USD (in [2021 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