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13
33
forecasters
16
13 comments
33 forecasters
Law
1 more...
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
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Current estimate
15 Jun 2027
15 Jun 2027
(08 Sep 2026 - 21 Jun 2028)
Forecast Timeline
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Forecast Timeline
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Comments (13)
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SCOTUS composition change in 2026?
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chance
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Trump SCOTUS Justices by January 21, 2029
3
16.3%
4
49%
5
27.6%
6
6.1%
7 or more
1%
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35%
chance
11 comments
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2%
chance
1 comment
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Proportion of Q2 2026 SCOTUS decisions issued by Democratic appointee?
Current estimate
0.283
0 comments
23 forecasters
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on Jan 20, 2029?
Democratic Congress
20%
Republican Congress
7%
Split Congress
15%
29 comments
132 forecasters
SCOTUS Impeachment and Removal by 2030
3.3%
chance
5 comments
69 forecasters
SCOTUS Confirmations in 2025-2029?
2
40%
1
38%
3 or more
10%
0
10%