Question
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
23 Jul 2026
(09 Oct 2025 - 28 Aug 2027)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <20 Mar 2022 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 09 Oct 2025 | — |
| median | 23 Jul 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 28 Aug 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2030 | 4.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2022