Question

After 2022, when is the next time the US policy rate will reach the zero lower bound?

Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
13 Apr 2028
(03 Jan 2026 - Jan 2032)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%03 Jan 2026
median13 Apr 2028
upper 75%Jan 2032
Upper bound
>Dec 20494.0%
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Opened:Apr 4, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 6, 2022