Question

Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?

Resolved:Yes

64 comments64

Total Forecasters490

Community Prediction

99%

(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

15.4

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 31, 2022

Closes:

May 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 31, 2022

Ukraine war latest: Russia claims full control over Ukrainian region for first time since war began

•Jul 2, 2025

Ukraine war latest: Russia claims full control over Ukrainian region for first time since war began

•Jul 2, 2025

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Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 31, 2022

Closes:

May 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 31, 2022

Ukraine war latest: Russia claims full control over Ukrainian region for first time since war began

•Jul 2, 2025

Ukraine war latest: Russia claims full control over Ukrainian region for first time since war began

•Jul 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch