Question
A rigorous GWU study is set to determine precisely how many Puerto Ricans died because of Hurricane Maria: what will that number be?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters36
Community Prediction
>2000
(>2000 - >2000)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <100 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | >2000 | — |
| median | >2000 | — |
| upper 75% | >2000 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2000 | 85.8% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
2.3
Community Peer Score
0.1
Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2018
Closes:Aug 27, 2018
Resolves:Sep 1, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 10, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2018
Closes:Aug 27, 2018
Resolves:Sep 1, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 10, 2018