Question
How long will the Great Pyramids be recognizable?
Total Forecasters106
Community Prediction
39.6k years
(2491 years - 221k years)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1000 | 20.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2491 | — |
| median | 39.61k | — |
| upper 75% | 220.7k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10M | 8.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 11, 2018
Closes:Jun 17, 2134
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2018
Will the Confederate monument on Stone Mountain be defaced or destroyed before 2035?
45%
Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?
53%
When will the the main tomb chamber of the mausoleum of Qin Shi Huang be opened?
Sep 2046
Authors:
Opened:Jul 11, 2018
Closes:Jun 17, 2134
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2018
Will the Confederate monument on Stone Mountain be defaced or destroyed before 2035?
45%
Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?
53%
When will the the main tomb chamber of the mausoleum of Qin Shi Huang be opened?
Sep 2046