Question

Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration?

Resolved:Yes
9
20
Total Forecasters64
Community Prediction
98%
(95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-0.8
Community Peer Score
11.1
Authors:
jonathan.mohrbacher
Opened:Apr 12, 2022
Closes:Jun 1, 2022
Resolves:Jun 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 14, 2022
Verity
Geopolitics
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