Question

Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election?

Resolved :Yes

62 comments62

Total Forecasters302

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-1.8

Community Peer Score

-1.0

median 95.0%mean 88.5%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

11%

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

What will be the highest closing price of Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock any day after April 14, 2024, and before the 2024 United States presidential election?

55.6

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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USA Today•Oct 9, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

11%

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

What will be the highest closing price of Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock any day after April 14, 2024, and before the 2024 United States presidential election?

55.6