18 comments
44 forecasters
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023?
95%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 95% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 2, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Dec 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 4, 2022
