Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 6th of May, 2022?

Resolved:2003

-1

5 comments5

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction

1581

(1294 - 1928)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>15k
community	1294	1581	1928	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	1294	—
median	1581	—
upper 75%	1928	—
Upper bound
>15k	0.1%	—

What was the final result?2003

Community Baseline Score

84.8

Community Peer Score

20.6

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Apr 8, 2022

Closes:

Apr 29, 2022

Resolves:

May 11, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 17, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 8

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

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43%

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%