Question
How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction
11.4 countries
(8.92 countries - 13.9 countries)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 8.919 | — |
| median | 11.42 | — |
| upper 75% | 13.9 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >220 | 0.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 28, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 28, 2022