52 forecasters

How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?

Current estimate

11.3 countries

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 26, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 28, 2022

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