Question
How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
24.8 people
(13.4 people - 42 people)
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CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<5 | 5.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 13.39 | — |
median | 24.84 | — |
upper 75% | 42.02 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>1000 | 0.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 18, 2022
Closes:Apr 11, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Apr 13, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Apr 18, 2022
Closes:Apr 11, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Apr 13, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022