Question

By December 31, 2022, will Twitter agree to be taken private by Elon Musk?

Resolved:Yes

37 comments37

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction

99%

(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

0.2

Community Baseline Score

-2.7

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Apr 20, 2022

Closes:

Oct 6, 2022

Resolves:

Oct 6, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 21, 2022

Economy & Business

2022 Leaderboard

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will the next CEO of X/Twitter last until 2027?

54%

Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?

12%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Apr 20, 2022

Closes:

Oct 6, 2022

Resolves:

Oct 6, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 21, 2022

Economy & Business

2022 Leaderboard

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will the next CEO of X/Twitter last until 2027?

54%

Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?

12%