317 forecasters

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

3%chance

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Apr 17, 2022

Closes:

Feb 2, 2033

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 2, 2033

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 17, 2022

Peter Navarro calls on Musk to cleanse ‘cesspool’ on X and ban anonymous users from the site

Independent•Sep 16, 2025

Musk’s posts take a dark, inflammatory turn after Charlie Kirk killing

NBC•Sep 16, 2025

Elon Musk has nearly recovered the billions in wealth he lost earlier this year

Business Insider•Sep 16, 2025

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